Sunday, April 26, 2015

SUNDAY 4/26/15

The death toll from the Nepal earthquake rises to 2000 with nearly 5000 injured. Aftershocks of 6 magnitude and greater continue. Many remain buried alive inside buildings with rescue efforts intensifying. Avalanches 







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unclassified emails were read by the cyber criminals. Government officials claim, however, that no confidential information has been compromised.

Saturday, April 25, 2015

SATURDAY 4/25/15

A cash register and computer system outage disrupts sales in 8000 SBUX stores in US and Canada Friday evening into early Saturday morning but operations are back on line. Starbucks expects all stores to reopen today.

A 7.9 magnitude earthquake 









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 Advertisers, journalists, lobbyists, business leaders and celebrities schmooze each other playing the political game of influence peddling. The Washington elite, grossly out of touch with the rest of America, enjoy an evening of luxurious dining, fine wine and entertainment.

Thursday, April 23, 2015

FRIDAY 4/24/15; Greece Meeting; Arbor Day; AAL; BIIB; SPG; STT; TYC; Durable Goods; SPX, COMPQ and NYA All-Time Record Highs; AMZN, GOOGL, MSFT and SBUX Explode Higher

Asian indexes are set for a flat to marginally higher open. New Zealand is hit with a strong 6.3 magnitude earthquake. Buildings and houses are damaged. The NIKK loses -0.8% during the session to 20020. Japanese airlines are weak. The NIKK is up +2% this week.

Aussie stocks are strong with the SPASX200 up +1.5% providing enough strength to create a +1% gain this week. Energy and materials stocks run higher and Australia is optimistic that the PBOC will 
















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 Financial author James Altucher says, “The reality is we’re at the all time highs in the stock market and it’s going to continue.” Altucher says every time someone says something bad about the stock market they are wrong. Altrucher says “the reality is that we are at all-time highs in the stock market and its going to continue.”

7000 SBUX stores in the United States and 1000 in Canada close due to cash register and computer system problems. The outages begin at 7:30 PM EST. Starbucks remains cryptic concerning the outage chalking it up to “technical difficulties.” Starbucks Evolution Fresh and Teavana stores are also affected.

THURSDAY 4/23/15; Global PMI’s; St George's Day; ABBV; GM; MMM; MO; CAT; DOW; LLY; PEP; UNP; PG; New Home Sales; SPX and COMPQ New All-Time Record Highs; AMZN; GOOGL; MSFT; SBUX


The NIKK gains +0.3% to 20188 printing new 15-year gains each day on rumors of more BOJ stimulus. Japanese banks and brokers trade higher. Sony drops -1.6% despite raising earnings forecasts. Australian stocks are marginally higher. SPASX200 +0.2%. Fortescue Metals leaps +10%. The KOSPI is up +1.4% and is very strong in recent days. The stock buying frenzy in China is filtering into South Korea. Hyundai Motor, SK Hynix and LG Display lead higher. South Korea growth numbers are meeting and beating expectations.

China HSBC PMI manufacturing data disappoints at 49.2 a one-year low. The consensus forecast was 49.6. China’s official PMI is 50.1. Metals and aluminum trade lower on the disappointing numbers. The SSEC gains +0.4% since weak economic data means more stimulus from the PBOC to goose stocks higher. The global central bankers have created a sick world. The HSI is down -0.4% giving up strong gains earlier in the session. Chinese banks, gaming and entertainment companies trade lower. 

The Chile Calbuco volcano erupts with fire, smoke and ash causing the evacuation of thousands of people within 10 km (6.2 miles). Flights are cancelled in Chile and Argentina. Chile declares a state of emergency.

European indexes trade higher out of the gate but quickly fade and begin a steady downward path printing red numbers. European manufacturing data surprises to the downside. German factory orders are slowing.

Emergency liquidity assistance (ELA) is provided for Greece to provide breathing room for the troubled nation. The ECB and European officials are waiting for a detailed reform package from Greece for the last two months. “Grexit” refers to Greece exiting the euro and C introduces a new moniker “Grimbo” a word to 
























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 been involved in influence peddling (performing tasks for cash) and fraud. A couple of intrepid reporters are researching a trail of cash and favors. The news will hamper Hillary Clinton’s presidential aspirations.

The Senate approves President Obama’s selection for the new Attorney General Loretta Lynch. Saudi Arabia begins airstrikes against the Houthi rebels in Yemen again. The US Navy is watching and trailing Iranian-ships in the waters south of Yemen and Oman suspected of supplying arms to the Houthi rebels.

Wednesday, April 22, 2015

WEDNESDAY 4/22/15; NIKK 20K; SSEC 4400; Greece 3-Year Yield 30%; Earth Day; Administrative Professionals Day; BA; BK; MCD; KO; DHI; OC; Existing Home Sales; T; FB; TXN; EBAY; PBR

Japan and China stocks close at multi-year highs. The NIKK closes above 20K for the first time in 15 years. The Nikkei Index gains +1.1% to 20134. Japan exports are stronger than expected but imports weaker than expected. Japanese banks and securities firms leap from +3% to +7% higher. The BOJ may abandon its +2% inflation target to the +0.5%-1.0% range citing the drop in oil prices. The central bankers are the market and conveniently when a goal cannot be reached despite the obscene money printing (+2% inflation goal), then simply lower the bar so the goal can be attained more easily.

Australia stocks trade lower with the SPASX200 down -0.6%. Aussie inflation is running at +1.3% annually. Aussie dollar 0.7766. Australian banks are weak since interest rate cuts remain on hold. S&P cuts the rating on Fortescue Metals. The KOSPI is flat. Steel maker Posco falls -4% on weaker than expected earnings.

The SSEC jumps +2.5% to 4400 another seven-year high (February 2008). The Shanghai Index is parabolic and the increase in margin requirements on the over-the-counter stocks on the weekend has no effect on dampening the euphoric rally. The SSEC is up from 3200 to 4400, 1200 points, +38%, in only 33 days. The Shanghai is rising at the rate of 36 points, +1.2%, per day for the last two months! No wonder the market is in frenzy with cab drivers, dishwashers, housewives and folks of modest means throwing money at the market. Infrastructure stocks trade strongly higher. The HSI gains +0.3% at 27934.

The NIKK, SSEC and HSI indexes are pumped higher by the BOJ and PBOC central bankers with the remainder of Asian markets negative overnight. The happiness in Asia cascades to Europe.

European indexes begin trading running higher. The DAX and MIB are each up +0.7%. CAC +0.6%. FTSE +0.2%. Greece FM Varoufakis says there is “clear convergence” to reach a deal but not at Friday’s important meeting of European finance ministers. The optimism creates a happy mood. The Greece 3-year yield is 29.63% after teasing above 30% a level not seen since the 2012 European turmoil. A UK poll, about three weeks in front of the election, shows David Cameron’s Conservative Party trailing Britain’s opposition Labour Party by two percentage points.

UK grocer Tesco rises nearly +4% after reporting a record annual loss and expecting a challenging environment going forward. French luxury goods provider Kering loses -5%. Luxury goods maker Richemont drops -1.5% on disappointing sales. Swedish carmaker Volvo jumps +13% on news of robust profits and a change of CEO leadership. Drug maker Roche bounces over +2% on strong sales. Chip equipment maker ASML jumps +8% on new orders for their specialized machines.

US futures spike higher after the European opening bell. S&P +6. Dow +52. Nasdaq +14. Euro 1.0758. Dollar/yen 119.56. Pound 1.4953. Aussie dollar 0.777.

Oil drops on less tensions in the Middle East after Saudi Arabia ends the Yemen airstrikes. Oil inventories also remain high pressuring prices lower. EIA Oil Inventories are released at 10:30 AM EST. WTIC oil 56.01. Brent oil 61.61. Natural gas 2.56. Gold is 1203 continuing to oscillate above and below the 1200 level. Silver is 16.04 remaining sticky at 16. Copper is flat at 2.7065.

US Treasury yields are; 2-year 0.52%, 


















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corruption scandal. PBR trades down -2.6%. Many questions remain for the troubled Brazilian oil giant.

The bullish market sentiment continues. The TRIN Arms Index drops to 0.42 indicating uber bullish euphoria. Volatility remains subdued. VIX 12.71. Television commentator Larry Kudlow continues his bullish mantra telling investors to “buy any and all dips.”

Tuesday, April 21, 2015

TUESDAY 4/21/15; Cascading Global Rally; Kaisa Default; BHI; DD; ITW; KSU; LMT; TRV; UA; UTX; VZ; BRCM; NBR; YHOO; YUM

Asian indexes perform the reverse of yesterday up across the board except for South Korea that finishes a touch lower. Global stocks run higher due to the PBOC cutting the reserve requirement ratios for banks on the weekend. Increased bank lending should spur global economic activity. NIKK +1.4%. SPASX200 +0.7%. KOSPI -0.1%. The SSEC gains +1.8% above 4294. The HSI catapults +2.7% above 27850.

Japan stocks such as Mitsubishi Electric and TM gain +3.5% and +2.2%, respectively. RBA meeting minutes show that Australian bankers want to wait for more economic data before committing to interest rate cuts. Aussie dollar 0.7696. The KOSPI takes a rest down marginally ending a seven-day winning streak. South Korean brokerage companies such as Samsung Securities and Hundai Securities are each down -3%.

The Shanghai Index is at new seven-year highs. Chinese real estate developer Kaisa defaults on two debt payments for 2017 and 2018. Investors are increasingly concerned over the debt problems that may surface for Chinese companies. Kaisa is the first Chinese property developer to default on US debt.

European indexes open for trading and launch higher feeding off the rally in Asia. The DAX is up over +1% in quick order and the CAC climbs over +0.5%. The ECB is preparing for curbs on Greek banks. Greece is cash deficient instructing all nation banks to provide available cash to the government. The deadlines continue to extend with July now targeted as the date that Greece will be completely out of money. Nonetheless, Greece is running out of time and has to choose its path forward during the coming weeks. Former ECB-head Jean-Claude Trichet says, “No one is optimistic about Greece.” Greece ASE is down -3.2%.

EU leaders meet today to discuss the humanitarian situation where migrants are fleeing war torn areas such as Libya and end up dying in the Mediterranean Sea from overloaded and unstable ships. The ship tragedy on the weekend killing hundreds is forcing leaders to step in and find a solution to the growing refugee problem from ongoing Middle East regional wars.

TEVA is up +2% and MYL gains +10% on news that Teva Pharma will make a formal bid for Mylan. It would be the largest takeover deal of the year but Mylan has already downplayed the potential takeover. Cosmetic maker L’Oreal reports strong sales. Sky Plc gains +5% after reporting the strongest sales in a decade and high demand for its pay-TV offerings. Credit Suisse faces challenges moving forward as the CEO change occurs over the next couple months. CS trades down -3%.

The DOJ wants five large banks including JPM, BCS, C, RBS and UBS to resolve the litigation concerning foreign exchange market manipulation. Each bank would be expected to pay $1 billion or more in fines. An Egypt court sentences ex-president Mursi to 20 years in prison.

At 3:49 AM, European stocks are running higher with the DAX up +1.4%, CAC +0.9% and FTSE +0.6%. S&P futures +12. Dow +111. Nasdaq +29. Euro 1.0676. Dollar/yen 119.56. Pound 1.4877. Aussie dollar 0.7707.

WTIC crude oil 56.02. Brent oil 62.99. Natural gas is up +1% to 2.56. Gold 1195. Silver 15.95. Copper is down -0.7% to 2.7105.













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NBR beats on EPS expectations but misses on the top line. Nabors has canned nearly one in every five global employees ending last year. Nabors axed over 40% of its workforce in the US drilling operations and 26% at Canadian drill rigs. Rental company URI beats on the top and bottom lines an encouraging sign for economic activity.

Sunday, April 19, 2015

MONDAY 4/20/15; China Stimulus Creates European and US Stock Rally; MS; HAL; HAS; RCL; IBM; PKG; ZION

As Asian indexes prepare for the new week of trading (7 PM EST Sunday evening in the States), China futures are down from -3.4% to -6.0%. The HSI futures are down -2.6%. S&P futures are +5. Dow +38. Nasdaq +7. Euro 1.0790. Dollar/yen 118.99. Pound 1.4951. Aussie dollar 0.7796.

WTIC oil 56.18. Brent oil 64.03. Natural gas 2.59. Gold 1204. Silver 16.26. Copper is up +1.5% to 2.8095 receiving a big boost from China’s triple R cut that should spur bank lending and increase economic activity.

US Treasury yields are; 2-year 0.51%, 5-year 1.31%, 10-year 1.87%, 30-year 2.52%. The 2-10 spread is 136 points.

New Zealand inflation data surprises with the indicators showing disinflation rather than inflation. Taco Bell opens a store in Japan and is exploring other markets going forward; YUM will respond to the new plan in Monday’s trade.

March house sales rise in China. VW auto sales in China miss expectations. Chinese auto sales remain robust at +7% per year but are flatlining and no longer growing. Chinese real estate developer Kaisa remains in bankruptcy trouble with a large payment due today. China and Pakistan meet and agree on $28 billion in military and infrastructure trade deals. China is providing eight submarines to Pakistan.

Asian indexes finish red except for South Korea. NIKK -0.1%. Panasonic gains +2% on robust sales and profits. SPASX200 -0.8%. KOSPI +0.2%. India stocks are trading down -1% at three-week lows. Copper is on fire up +1.7% to 2.8165. Euro 1.0804. USD 97.437.

Chinese stocks are down but not as bad as the futures reactions late Friday and a few hours ago. SSEC -1.6%. The HSI is down -2% the largest loss in four months. The triple R cuts temper the negativity created by the new margin requirements for over-the-counter stocks. Chinese bank and brokerages stocks are slapped from -2% to -7%.

European indexes run higher out of the gate. Mining stocks are strong. The China stimulus announced yesterday (triple R cuts) boosts stocks. Greece remains a thorn in the side of Europe. ECB President Draghi says, “Greece must try to save itself” and their fate is in the “hands of the Greek government.” Greece FM Varoufakis warns that if Greece exits the euro contagion will occur across Europe.

Eurogroup head and Dutch Minister of Finance Jeroen Dijsselbloem says Greece is only 2% of the European economy. An emerging view may be that the ECB and European officials are viewing a Grexit (Greece exiting the euro) as manageable. They may be playing with fire. The Greece drama continues with two large debt payments due in early May. Greece has not yet provided a detailed reform package. The European finance ministers meet on Friday to discuss Greece.

At 4 AM, European indexes are up about +1% across the board including Greece. S&P +13. Dow +106. Nasdaq +22. Euro 1.0781. Dollar/yen 118.71. Pound 1.4960. WTIC oil 56.18. Brent oil 63.74. Natural gas 2.59. Gold 1207. Silver 16.28. Copper loses its overnight luster up +0.2% to 2.775 but threatening to slip negative.

Treasury yields are; 2-year 0.51%, 5-year 1.30%, 10-year 1.86%, 30-year 2.52%.

Millionaire Juha Sipila 












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 Islamist radical beheadings continue across Libya and the Middle East. The Whitehouse spokesman finally acknowledges that Christians are targeted by the Islamist militants but President Obama continues to refuse to call out Muslims for the escalating Holy War across the Middle East and northern Africa. No president wants a legacy of creating a Holy War in the Middle East. The president’s decision to pull all troops from Iraq created the growth of Islamist radicalism in Syria and Iraq that is now spreading internationally.

The Whitehouse continues to downplay the Islamist radicalism insisting that ISIS is not spreading to Libya, Yemen and Afghanistan but the news reports on the ground and group assassinations say otherwise. The Obama administration appears out of touch or in denial saying that ISIS is only active in Syria and Iraq.