Russian Ruble continues weakening to 36.2825. Aussie dollar is
strengthening slightly to 0.9093. ASX 200 leaks slightly lower as the new week
of trading begins. Dollar/yen 102.25. Japan markets were closed on Friday and
reopen today. Sinopec misses profit estimates. WTIC oil is under 100 at 99.25
and Brent crude oil is under 107.
Chinese HSBC PMI is 48.1, lower for the fifth straight
month, down from the previous 48.5 indicating a slowing China economy. Traders ignore
the negative news since stimulus programs will now be expected to boost the
Chinese economy; the bad news is good news scenario. The Aussie dollar bumps
higher to 0.9106. Australian and Asia stocks rally higher. NIKK jumps +1.8%
receiving fuel from the weaker yen as the dollar/yen moves higher to 102.54.
SSEC +0.9%. HSI +1.9%. KOSPI +0.6%.
Euro zone PMI falls to 53 below expectations. Germany’s PMI
is weaker than expected at 53.8 but France PMI unexpectedly jumps over the 50%
level to 51.9. The expectation was for France to remain in contraction under
50. The ECB says it “stands ready to take decisive action” to boost the economy
so the euro drops to 1.3789. Europe trades negatively across the board impacted
from the ongoing Ukraine, Crimea and Turkey turmoil. Turkey’s 10-year bond
remains elevated at 9.5%....
[Text is Redacted: Purchase March 2014-03 to Read the Complete Chronology]
[Text is Redacted: Purchase March 2014-03 to Read the Complete Chronology]
Many market participants say there are no bubbles in the
market for the simple reason that too many folks are starting to call attention
to bubbles. Bubbles do usually burst after a melt-up and blow-off top occurs
when everyone is chasing the bubble creating frenzy to the point where it
collapses the bubble, however, the Internet has changed the playing field in
stock trading in recent years. Retail traders are far savvier these days and
receive information in much shorter time frames. Years ago the average stock
was held for five years, now it is five months. Perhaps the current bubbles
bursting in biotech, high-flying momo stocks, 3-D stocks, dividend stocks and
high-yield bonds, are occurring under a new paradigm. Those waiting for bubbles
to be identified by the old methods of excessive euphoria may have already
missed the top as the retail trader is far smarter this time around. The dumb
money may not be as dumb anymore.
Permabull Jim Paulsen with Wells Capital Management calls
for SPX 1900 and potentially 2000 this year despite any selloff in the near
term. That is 150 SPX handles higher from here. Traders and analysts remain
strongly bullish. Sadly, Malaysian authorities say that Flight 370 went down in
the Indian Ocean beyond any reasonable doubt. The actual cause of the tragedy
remains a mystery. The families of loved ones lost on the doomed flight are
grief-stricken since they now must assume the passengers and crew have
perished.
After the bell, SONC pops +6.4% on an earnings beat. Cloud storage
company Box files S-1 documents to list as an IPO and raise $250 million under the
ticker BOX. Box competitor Dropbox will likely file for an IPO moving forward as
well. The tech IPO’s are hot these days just like the dotcom bubble days in
1999-2000.
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