Asia begins on a happy note but the party runs out of gas. NIKK
gains +0.4% in early trading but ends flat. The dollar/yen drops to 101.48 so
the stronger yen takes the wind out of Japanese stocks and US futures. S&P -3.
Takata, the air bag manufacturer for BMW and other car makers, drops -4%, due
to ongoing recalls. The SSEC drops -0.6%. KOSPI gains +0.4% as electronics
manufacturers and retailers move higher. Casino stocks trade lower in Hong
Kong.
The Aussie SPASX200 moves higher and continues to test the
ceiling of resistance at 5520-5550 for the last three months; the index will
either bounce or die. Price attacks 5560 but is rejected from this six-year
high finishing at 5522. The Jakarta Composite drops -1% waiting on the
presidential election results due in the coming days.
Russia’s Micex Index drops -2.4% on the sanction news. Rosneft
collapses -6% but stabilizes. The Russian Ruble is 34.8391 moving higher which
represents a weaker Russian currency and the ruble is at one-month lows against
the US Dollar. Money is flowing out of Russia so the sanction news is biting
sending Russian stocks lower and weakening the currency. PM Dmitry Medvedev, Putin’s
puppet, says the sanction measures are “evil.” Medvedev says the US is hurting
relations and will reignite the cold war. President Putin says that US-Russia
relations are heading to a dead end and warns of retaliation. Putin says Russia
will not respond to blackmail.
[Text is Redacted: Purchase July 2014-07 to Read the Complete Chronology]
Fed’s Bullard says rates may have to be raised sooner than
anticipated if inflation continues higher. Bullard is a hawk so the comments
are not surprising but stocks do weaken further on the sound bite. Russia fund
ERUS collapses -7%. There is heavy volume exiting Russian stocks. OGZPY
(Gazprom) drops -5%. Russian media company CTCM drops -6%. Russian telecom MBT
drops -4%. Wheat, very critical to the Ukraine region, jumps higher in price.
Corn, oil, gold and silver all trade higher. Gold leaps 17 to 1317.
Volatility spikes wildly higher, over +30%!, with the VIX
printing above 15, verifying a tinge of fear in the markets as traders buy
protection. Buying volatility on the long side through options or ETF’s provides
a hedge for long stock positions since volatility moves opposite equities.
Equities deteriorate as the VIX sky rockets higher.
At 3:40 PM EST, Israel begins a ground offensive into Gaza. Israeli
troops are targeting tunnels created by Hamas for moving weapons and supplies
and entering Israel illegally. Television screens are showing images of war and
crashed airplane debris creating a negative mood. Minutes before the closing
bell, a rumor circulates that the Whitehouse is in lockdown. The rumor is untrue.
Equities finish the
session at the lows. The SPX tanks 23 points, -1.2%, to 1958, losing the 20-day
MA support at 1967. The INDU loses 161 points, -0.9%, to 16977, under the 17K
level, but above its 20-day MA support at 16951. The COMPQ collapses 63 points,
-1.45, to 4363. The RUT small caps are beaten 18 points, -1.6%, to 1134, under the
20, 50 and 200-day moving averages leading the parade lower. The VIX catapults
+32% higher to 14.54 as traders run to buy protection.
IBB collapses -2.2% so Fed Chair Yellen singling out biotech
stocks as overvalued creates greater selling. CELG, REGN, ALXN, GILD and VRTX
are bludgeoned from -2% to -4%. Ditto the social Internet stocks with SOCL
dumping -1.8%. Traders simply trade according to what the Fed says and does.
The central bankers are the market. Equities actually hold up relatively well
today considering the geopolitical turmoil. Traders continue to firmly believe
that the Fed will support the stock market forever so there is no real need to
sell.
Energy stocks also lead lower with XLE -1.6%. TRAN collapses
-1.4%. Financials and retail stocks are weak. XLF -1.3%. XRT -1.3%. Industrials
lag. XLI -1.6%. MSFT finishes up +1%. BA, the maker of the doomed Flight MH17 airplane,
loses -1.2%. Gold jumps 19 bucks, +1.4%, to 1319, stalling exactly at the 20-day
MA at 1320. Silver gains +1.8% to 21.19. WTIC oil leaps higher to 103.75. Brent
moves above 108.
After the bell, IBM beats by a penny on EPS at 4.32 and
beats on the top line with $24.36 billion versus $24.13 billion expected. IBM
reports nine straight quarters of revenue declines. IBM pops +2.3% in AH
trading but several minutes later collapses turning negative down -1.3%.
Traders are concerned over the lower sales numbers. Google reports an EPS of
6.08 versus 6.24 a big miss. Top line sales beat at $15.96 billion versus
$15.62 billion expected. GOOGL trades up +1%.
AMD plummets -16% after missing on EPS by a penny and guiding
lower. The stellar chip sector is starting to receive bumps and bruises. HPQ
drops -1.1% after current CEO Meg Whitman is also named Chairman of the Board
and several other executive positions shift as well. JPM announces a
retroactive pay raise for CEO Jamie Dimon. The greedy bankers always receive
their money in the end no matter how much they pretend to be heroes by working
for lower wages.
Oilfield service company SLB, nicknamed ‘Slob’, reports a
24% profit drop and trades lower. STX trades lower after reporting in-line earnings.
SWKS beats on earnings and guides higher so it is rewarded +6.5%. Susan Wagner,
a BLK founder, joins the APPL board.
At 4:20 PM, confirmation is received that a surface to air
missile brought down the Malaysian flight this morning above East Ukraine. The
focus turns to who fired the missile. At 7 PM EST, US futures trail lower.
S&P -9. Dow -84. Nasdaq -16. As the geopolitical turmoil continues, President Obama
attends two fund raisers in private homes in Manhattan partying the night away.
No comments:
Post a Comment
Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.